today's fancies are few and far between so will give the stats for the big race
The Bet365 Gold Cup (formerly the Whitbread Gold Cup), which takes place at Sandown on Saturday 28th April, is a grade 3 handicap chase run over 3 miles 5½ furlongs and it signals the end of the British national hunt season. It is always a hugely competitive race
The Racing calendar has started to become cruel for this race and entries dont look sparkling to tell the truth
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
6yo: 1-2-10
7yo: 2-7-23
8yo: 3-7-41
9yo: 1-2-36
10yo: 1-4-39
11yo: 2-5-20
12yo+: 0-1-9
Horses aged 6 to 8: 6-16-74
Horses aged 9+: 4-12-104
Younger horses have held the call in this, with 6 of 10 winners being aged 6 to 8 from less than 42% of the total runners.
Over past 7 years French breds have a record of 3-16-42, which compares well to horses bred in all other countries, combined record of 4-3-77. Fred bred horses have filled 22 of 29 places since 2004 and they represented only 35.3% of the total runners.
Weight (Win-Place-Runners)
Horses carrying 11-0 or more: 2-7-49
Horses carrying 10-6 to 10-13: 4-10-46
Horses carrying 10-0 to 10-5: 4-6-59
Horses carrying 9-13 or less: 0-5-24
Horses carrying 10-0 to 10-13 have won 8 of the last 10 from approximately 59% of the total runners.
Price
7 of 10 winners were priced between 14/1 and 25/1
No strong trends on trends on the prices, though there have been a couple of long-priced winners in past 3 years.
Favourites (0-5-12) have a very poor record gaining no wins in the past 10 year. Level stakes loss of 10.00.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 6 to 8
· Carrying 10-0 to 10-13
· Officially rated 132 to 145
· French bred horses do well
· Had last run at Cheltenham, in a Grand National or over hurdles
· Ran at this season’s Cheltenham Festival
· Run in the past 50 days
· Run at least 3 times this season
· Won over 3M 1F+
· Won a race worth £20,000 or more
· Run in no more than 9 handicap chases (won no more than 2)
RESULT A typical edition of this staying handicap, run at a decent clip, and it proved a thorough test.
One horse coped considerably better than the remainder, however, enigmatic top weight TIDAL BAY deciding he fancied a go for a change and fairly bolting up. The soft ground slowed the others down for the 11yo, who tends to get behind in his races, and Daryl Jacob kept him interested throughout. This was a glimmer of what he´s capable of and he could head to Auteuil this summer for a valuable staying hurdle.
The novice Roalco De Farges had run poorly on one previous try right-handed, but he had no troubles this time and ran a career-best, traveling well and simply being outclassed. The Welsh National is likely to be his primary objective next season.
Scottish National eighth Any Currency, wearing a first-time eyeshield, lost his position prior to finishing best of the beaten runners, but never got close enough to threaten.
The 12yo Vic Venturi, who refused in the National, ran really well in a first-time visor, his stamina not quite being up to it.
Aldertune ran to something like his best on ground too soft.
Dover´s Hill likes good ground and his stamina didn´t last, that last comment applying also to Rare Bob. Thelatter travelled well to a point in the first-time visor but continues to fall short in good handicaps.
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