Sunday 22 April 2012

Sunday 22nd - longshot Wincanton

Campbell Gillies  comes all the way down to Wincanton from Scotland for one ride - take the hint  he is riding the filly against the boys in the 4.10 Dundrum Dancer for Alex Hales (trains at Northants) and on the exchanges is given no chance at current 20s - am on it at better than half those stakes for the place market alone. but am also holding some juicy tickets for the win
ok why apart from the above why do i fancy it as todays longshot? its her second run over hdles -ran so well at newton Abbot first try (552  days since its last run on the flat) where it achieved marks of 72 (which is better than the majority of this field and only bettered by Enroller in fact ) that to my mind means it can achieve much more with the last race under its belt - it hurdled well and even took up the running at what was a key point in the race only failing for lack of race fitness and not given a hard time when its chance was gone --(ok that was against mares and left handed) but this lot are not a lot of cop and she is from Refuse To Bend who is a fast ground action sire - good good to firm forecast ground.
So never tried anything further than a mile on the flat but related to Tayarat through the mare Sincere and Tayarat  has won the distance and further on this ground right handed leading all the way -  and also won within this days timescale -- will do for me as the longshot of the day. She should, if running the same race but failing the distance go very short in running to make money BTL
 Good Luck all

 Bob

No comments: