Tuesday 27 March 2012

Tuesday 27th march 2012

Two NH cards and going is getting faster - some summer horses coming out early 


Hereford - not a track that has a great appeal  (horses for courses) nor conformation that make it unique for specific horse types. Its Right handed  generally flat, easy bends with a downhill run in, the fences are a bit stiffer than they look but decent galloping types are not greatly inconvenienced by the conformations - fast ground  Front running galloper's seem to handle it best and over the years have noted that horse I thought specifically better left handed can be changing legs effortlessly.  The going is predicted good g/frm in places with a sunny day - better to base assumptions on g/frm 


Market Rasen is very much a horses for courses track Right handed and undulating with sharp bends its often a really good back in running track  Todays Going is forecast as good with a sunny day in prospect the track normally is very good at getting the going spot on - It does not suit galloper's at all  though it does pay to be up with the pace as making up ground late is pretty tuff unless the horse has done it before on the ground! So when your looking for horses for courses always check it can run the ground.


And just one warning note on both tracks - the best prize race today is on the AW!!!! 2 grand more in fact.
Market Rasen 3.20 top prize today over the sticks and must be a target for the trainers who do well here - Pipe King and Reveley  are all around the 15% mark for the track  but there are no stats for this race from previous years -  VFB - pages 1 5 6 7 stats biggest plus is Cool Operator  though it is a hold up horse in the main it does have a turn of speed and could be a bet in running -was going extremely well under  Lucy Alexander last time when pecked and unseated   
James Reveley on the mare Karingreason attracts as a confirmed Market Rasen horse who the market usually gets about right loves the track and ground its way out in betting - and upped to 2m6f its wins round here she has gone up with the pace in small fields of her last 14 runs 8 have been round here - she has beaten the boys before  and I took the 11/1 this morning she should drop in the betting if the Reveley's fancy her today 
I dont like to bet Frosted Grape before the off  but am prepared to watch for a bet in running as it tends to hit a flat spot and spiral out in the betting - if its going well am inclined to back it then and take a lay short price  -  it loves the ground and is a stayer but very disappointing horse in the main. 


 Will hopefully meet you all on my twitter page for the races today https://twitter.com/#!/roberttaylor03

Bob

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