Am working on Pam's machine because mine went phut yesterday -- al without my beloved notes for day one - in racing terms could anything be worse? NO hopefully will be able to get it back soon.
in the 1.30 Supreme Novice Hurdle (you need to have won or second your last race - falling in the last is a no no IMO) looking to get the shorter priced animals beaten - you have to go back to 2005 for the last favvy and recently they all around the 10/1 mark am keen on a big run from Montbazon winner last time at Newbury priced at 8/1 cracking novice hurdle for the grade, won last year by subsequent Supreme novice winner Al Ferof, and no less than three of the four market principals were 16-1 or shorter for the festival opener coming into the race. There wasn´t much pace on, however, and the result had something of an unsatisfactory feel to it, with Colour Squadron , coming down two out when arguably travelling best The winner, who gained a confidence-boosting success at 1-10 at Plumpton the time before, may not have had to better his course form from December to win, but he is crying out for good ground and his ability to travel strongly through his races will see him hit the frame in the Supreme today.
I will be also looking for a big run from the 66/1 shot Siminon who is miles better than the odds on offer - the only 40/1 winner was also trained by Mullins in 2007 and that one had a very similar profile of an ex good ground flat horse who had won on g/soft and the rest of the time in Ireland had hdles on unsuitable heavy ground
Bob
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